Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 905.422822 1032.664670 1177.863048 1357.227157 1574.802579 1832.733420 2165.501181
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 734.294509 896.968491 1100.989040 1381.044898 1764.323714 2284.412484 3069.402988
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 634.290722 804.755064 1030.240599 1359.531427 1844.854346 2563.539873 3772.147348
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 574.853861 753.540193 1001.145844 1383.404489 1986.868028 2959.073449 4783.720719
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 535.352750 721.647923 990.409677 1426.338186 2159.224272 3438.408454 6117.886704
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 495.907211 683.914377 964.320858 1438.491341 2280.336900 3859.122071 7526.618310
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 456.160800 640.699436 923.424522 1418.173586 2337.745896 4173.019949 8855.528780
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 431.720753 617.854869 911.062375 1442.983069 2481.568386 4702.177147 11018.676201
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 397.272092 575.899922 862.725285 1396.343672 2475.459086 4901.989003 12402.540783
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 369.002477 541.326862 823.018871 1359.692146 2482.095492 5133.691061 14053.525542
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 343.427943 509.062927 784.089423 1319.200152 2472.623270 5323.647627 15718.502869
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 335.805366 505.728537 794.753031 1375.839613 2689.772688 6185.948555 20815.832774
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 322.737093 493.241186 789.838218 1404.932925 2861.589024 7033.430453 27247.991761
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 309.710590 479.916950 782.355763 1428.521269 3029.686849 7970.045407 36036.034052
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 292.443673 457.647572 755.706495 1406.426374 3073.755928 8518.102193 43708.217625
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 282.300334 447.245015 750.588392 1431.276898 3252.468594 9664.710298 59490.605288
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 275.158098 441.633558 754.085252 1476.247678 3502.421973 11275.618518 87285.298803
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 265.203499 430.065153 744.548403 1488.957745 3660.820560 12625.176840 121435.590263
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 252.773871 413.015363 722.356778 1467.692963 3707.355248 13491.728786 156131.883401
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 245.667853 405.535556 719.215752 1493.662945 3918.705558 15416.120014 239950.994819
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 232.525324 385.685113 688.509646 1444.845791 3860.528550 15785.479050 288805.320600
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 221.225276 368.789447 662.902278 1406.499670 3832.128769 16342.726161 361204.033155
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 210.376783 352.214427 636.866329 1364.153585 3780.492727 16736.400272 443188.038307